How will Article 50 affect London’s property market?

Mark Lawrinson, Regional Sales Director of Portico London estate agents, has spoken out about the possible effects of Brexit on the London housing market, saying, “I don’t think the triggering of Article 50 will affect the property market directly from yesterdays announcement. In one sense it removes the uncertainty surrounding when Britain’s withdrawal process from the EU will start, but in another way it will create economic uncertainty until we know what deal we will strike and therefore what Brexit actually means for our country.

Mark continues, “Brexit will no doubt mean a turbulent two years for the London and UK market as we begin to hear what negotiations and proposed deals are being put forward for our exit of Europe and the single market. I think we will see a continued slowdown or lethargic London market when it comes to sales volumes, and as we reported toward the end of last year, transaction volumes across London are already more than half of what they were before the 2008 crash.

London has a significant part to play in businesses who trade and operate across Europe and the world, and a buoyant property market relies on the UK’s economic health. If Brexit negotiations go well this could cause further price growth as the economy grows and we see the nation’s confidence lifted, but equally, if a good deal isn’t reached then the international companies who operate here or look to relocate here might change their minds, reducing the number of residents who live in the capital and again further reducing the transaction levels, which could ultimately lead to price decreases.”

It’s therefore important that you make property decisions based on your personal situation and what you want to do, rather than gambling on how the market will play out.

Robert Nichols, Portico’s Managing Director, makes an important point, stating, “Right now we may experience some uncertainty, but as the negotiations progress, we will regain some much needed stability into the housing market, as people realise that the effects of Brexit are not catastrophic and go on with their lives. We’ll hopefully see transaction levels increase as a result, which are currently dangerously low and affecting price growth across the capital.

He continues, “Yesterday’s events are likely to have a much more profound effect on foreign investment however, with the weakening pound expected to fuel demand from overseas buyers and investors.”

Many are also speculating that yesterday’s events will mean that the Bank of England will be hesitant to increase their interest rates, in spite of the recent inflation increase. This will it will remain cheaper than ever to borrow and get on to the property ladder.

Many are also speculating that today’s events will mean that the Bank of England will be hesitant to increase their interest rates, in spite of the recent inflation increase. This will it will remain cheaper than ever to borrow and get on to the property ladder.

Article kindly provided by Portico, who are a residential estate agent with offices throughout London, specialising in flats and properties to rent and for sale. For landlords, they offer a range of unique packages which include monthly fees, a rental guarantee, complimentary maintenance between tenancies and assistance with tax return. For property sellers, they offer a dedicated property concierge and a complimentary interior styling service.

Please call 020 7428 5310 if Portico can assist you and your property portfolio.

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The UK decides to vote “Leave” but what now for UK Property

The dust has settled over the weekend and we have had time to adjust to the decision to “Leave” the European Union. Whether you voted to “Remain” or whether you voted to “Leave”, we are now facing a long period of uncertainty that will have a major impact on many of the personal decisions we make moving forward.

It would seem from the articles that we have read over the weekend that although we have made a decision as a country, it is actually how things will affect us personally that are concerning most people, which is ironic being that many people voted “Leave” for non-personal reasons.

From the viewpoint of the Landlord in the UK, we are facing a huge period of uncertainty as far as the housing markets are concerned and because no country has ever left the European Union, it is difficult for anyone to actually predict what will happen to property prices or the buy-to-let markets.

However, we do know that in the hours following the announcement that we would be leaving the European Union, shares in Housebuilder’s (Persimmon, Barrett and Berkeley) dropped by more than 20%, so does this mean that the housing market will fall dramatically?

Only time will tell, but Miles Shipside, Rightmove’s director and housing market analyst, stated: “Markets typically dislike uncertainty” and being as that is what the UK now faces it, it seems highly probable that house prices could lower as we pass through the two year period of uncertainty.

As for the Buy-to-Let sector, if property prices fall then investors can enjoy the benefits of purchasing property at lower prices, but given the recent changes in Stamp Duty, it may not be as simple as it would have been prior to the stamp duty increase. So yet again we face uncertainty as to how things will play out and we will just have to play the waiting game!

For more information on how the Property Markets will be affected click here